Use AVM Technology
to Your Advantage
By: Brooks Ballentine
& Joan Trice
( COMMUNICATOR ) -- Mention the term
"AVM" at your next all-appraiser social gathering and you are likely to elicit more
passionate responses than with all other appraisal related issues combined. Fueling
many of these opinions is the belief that appraisers and AVMs are mutually exclusive,
with the latter operating only at the expense of the former. Given that both appraisers
and AVMs are here to stay, it is advantageous for appraisers to learn as much as
possible about the technology. To that end, this article will demonstrate that AVMs
can be useful tools in the daily practice of real estate appraisal, specifically:
as support for adjustments, as an additional "method" of valuation, and as a new
service to provide to your clients (i.e. Appraiser Reviewed AVM).
A Brief Introduction to AVMs
If you are familiar with AVMs then,
by all means, skip this section. Otherwise, the term "AVM" is the acronym for Automated
Valuation Model. In simple terms, an AVM is a computer program that
"simulates" portions of the traditional appraisal process in order to produce a
valuation estimate. The accuracy and usability of a particular AVM is determined
by the model(s) with which it is designed. While the details of model design are
far beyond the scope of this article, suffice it to say that models in the industry
range from simplistic simulations of the comparable sales approach to extremely
complex data analysis using various predictive technologies.
New Support for Adjustments
The next time you are completing
the Sales Comparison section of your appraisal report, imagine if you could easily
and accurately adjust each sale for changes in market conditions over time (i.e.
"time adjustments"). Further, imagine if you were able to provide absolute support
for those adjustments. Now you can.
One of the products available from AVM vendors is called an Index. The Index captures
and tracks the changes in market conditions over time. Using the chart below, you
can easily see the change in value (Y-axis) over time (X-axis).
Chart No. 1
Chart No. 2
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The above charts were generated
using VeroVALUE AVM for single family residences. Chart No. 1 represents the 92806
(CA) zip code area while Chart No. 2 represents the 80218 (CO) zip code area. Reading
from the left, the data are normalized to zero with price changes tracked cumulatively.
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To use this information within your
existing appraisals follow these steps: (1) generate the index graph, (2) apply
the respective changes to each comparable data item, (3) copy the index graph into
your appraisal report (hint: an untitled map page works well), and (4) reference
the addendum in your sales comparison comments. If you compare the above steps to
the traditional process of extracting adjustments using several sets of paired sales
you can see the time savings benefit. Further, and a bit more rewarding, imagine
a reviewer calling and asking what data you used to support your time adjustment
factor. Your answer: All of it!
"New" Method for Valuation
By the time you have read through
page 2,809 of The Appraisal of Real Estate, you will have thoroughly covered the
three approaches to value. With the availability of AVMs, now may be the time to
start thinking of a fourth valuation approach. Although AVM valuations are more
of a composite of existing methods, they may provide additional and objective support
for your traditional valuation estimate.
As time is money for most appraisers,
we would prefer that once an appraisal leaves the office it is finished, without
being subjected to further explanation and requests for additional support. By including
a full AVM valuation report as an addendum to your full appraisal, you may be providing
the additional support that a review desires. In order to use this information within
your existing appraisals follow these steps: (1) generate the AVM Valuation Report,
(2) Copy the report into your appraisal software (second hint: an untitled map page
works well), and (3) reference the AVM valuation in your reconciliation comments.
New Services: Appraiser Reviewed
AVMs
Just as appraisers added 2055s, 704s
and a host of other services to their menu, we are rapidly approaching the next
new service: Appraiser Reviewed AVMs. This service will combine the speed and cost
savings of an AVM with the expertise of the local area appraiser.
For simple properties, the appraiser
can indicate that the AVM appears realistic as generated and inform his client accordingly.
Other properties may require the appraiser to provide additional support for the
value generated by the AVM or adjust the value generated by the AVM with or without
additional support. In these cases, the appraiser would submit this information
directly into the AVM form itself. The finished form is then electronically signed
and printed or emailed in PDF format directly to the appraiser. For more complex
assignments, the appraiser may need to inform his client that a higher level of
service is required (e.g. 2055, 1004). This provides the lender with the ability
to save time and money when it is appropriate and yet, relies on the local valuation
expert - that would be you - to make this determination.
Veros Software and the Appraisal
Buzz have teamed up to provide one such platform for the distribution of appraiser-reviewed
AVM technology through the Appraisal Buzz network. Lenders and local appraisers
would be seamlessly placed together for the delivery of this very effective offering
that is already filling the gap between AVM-only valuations and the full spectrum
of traditional appraisal products.
Future Integration
We have covered just three ways that
appraisers may use AVM technology in their current appraisal practice. As technology
advances, there will certainly be more tools for appraisers to use in their business,
including more robust adjustment indicators, automatic integration within forms
software, and even tools to help forecast values into the future.
Brooks Ballentine is Vice
President of Real Estate Solutions for Veros Software, Inc. located in Irvine, CA
(www.veros.com). He holds a B.S. in Computer Science and has been a residential
real estate appraiser since 1987. He can be contacted by email at
bballentine@veros.com.
Joan Trice, SRA is President
of Allterra Consulting Group, LCC in Cincinnati, Ohio. In addition to AVM consulting
, Allterra is the publisher of Appraisal Buzz, a free email newsletter circulated
to 26,000 appraisers twice weekly. Joan can be reached at
jtrice@appraisalbuzz.com. (To sign up
for your free newsletter go to www.appraisalbuzz.com.)
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