Veros
Unveils Automated Future Home
Price Forecasting Software
IRVINE,
Calif. - October 21, 2002 - Today, Veros Software introduced VeroFORECAST,
its forward-looking home valuation software at the MBA Annual Convention
in Chicago. Integrated into VeroVALUE (www.verovalue.com), Veros' Automated
Valuation Model (AVM) and collateral assessment software suite, VeroFORECAST
provides future home price forecasts over a twelve month period subsequent
to the report date. VeroFORECAST analyzes complex relationships between
house prices and numerous economic variables using multiple predictive
technologies such as neural network, statistical and econometric models,
data mining techniques, as well as probabilistic and bayesian methodologies.
"We are very excited to add home price forecasting tools to the growing
list of collateral analytics that Veros currently offers," stated
Darius Bozorgi, President of Veros. "As we have seen with prior attempts,
models that use historical prices as a basis to forecast the future are
doomed to failure." Veros heavily back tested VeroFORECAST with actual
data to determine the accuracy of the models. According to Eric Fox, VP
of Technology at Veros, "Historic price models that rely on past
price fluctuations to accurately predict future price changes are not
very good at predicting several quarters into the future. Rather, by understanding
and automating the complex relationships between price changes and numerous
key economic indicators, we are able to understand how declining interest
rates, increasing unemployment, a falling affordability index, a steady
number of active listings, and numerous other indicators will influence
prices into the foreseeable future."
VeroVALUE presently has two forward-looking house price products - VeroFORECAST
Basic and Advanced. The Basic product will give customers three and six
month future price forecasts while the Advanced version offers price forecasts
twelve months into the future and will also indicate the top three significant
and influential indicators responsible for the results. Veros currently
offers VeroFORECAST for the seven county region comprising Southern California
and will roll out the product over its remaining geographic coverage by
the end of the year.
What about the future? "We do see a softening of price increases
in Orange Co., CA but not a dramatic drop nor a continuation of the same
blistering 20% pace," stated Bozorgi. "The next three months
in particular will likely see increases in the 2% range with some escalation
in prices occurring in the early to mid part of 2003 for a total increase
of about 10% in the next twelve months. We see a softening in all Southern
California counties for the next twelve month period although price increases
should still be attractive and in the 6% to 12% range, depending on the
specific county."
About Veros Software
Veros Software (www.veros.com), located in Irvine, California, is a leading
predictive technology company building decision-support software applications
that allow clients to formulate accurate and informed business decisions
that directly impact their bottom line.

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